時間:2024-03-07|瀏覽:393
比特幣 (BTC) 于 3 月 5 日創下 69,200 美元以上的新高,但隨后遭到大規模拋售,導致價格跌破 60,000 美元。 根據監控資源 Coinglass 的數據,這種投降導致了 11.7 億美元的跨加密貨幣清算。
然而,下跌并沒有阻止投資者購買現貨比特幣交易所交易基金。 Farside Investors 的數據顯示,比特幣 ETF 凈流入 6.489 億美元,其中貝萊德 iShares 比特幣信托 (IBIT) ETF 錄得最高流入額 7.88 億美元。 這表明人們對比特幣有著濃厚的興趣,如果這種趨勢得以維持,調整可能會很淺。
每日加密貨幣市場表現。 來源: Coin360
當市場大幅上漲時,交易者往往會放棄謹慎并采用過多的杠桿。 這是短期內賺錢的一種快速方式,但如果交易者不善于在損失較小時記入損失,則可能會損害投資組合。 因此,交易者在使用杠桿進行交易時應保持謹慎并遵守交易規則。
比特幣能否延續上漲趨勢,拉動山寨幣走高,或者加密貨幣是否會進入盤整階段? 讓我們分析一下前 10 名加密貨幣的圖表來找出答案。
比特幣價格分析
比特幣連續幾天處于強勁上漲趨勢。 交易員將下跌視為上漲期間的買入機會,這就是 3 月 5 日發生的情況。
BTC/USDT 日線圖。 來源: TradingView
多頭在跌至 20 日指數移動均線(58,131 美元)時積極買入,表明較低水平的需求強勁。 買家試圖將價格推高至 69,000 美元以上,以恢復上漲趨勢。 如果成功,BTC/USDT 貨幣對可能會開始下一階段的上漲趨勢,升至 76,000 美元,然后升至 80,000 美元。
留給熊的時間已經不多了。 如果他們想在短期內開始調整,他們將必須守住 69,000 美元的水平,并將價格拉至 20 日均線以下。 然后,該貨幣對可能會出現多頭清算并暴跌至 50 日簡單移動平均線(49,107 美元)。
以太幣價格分析
以太幣(ETH)在 3 月 4 日躍升至 3,600 美元阻力位,并試圖在 3 月 5 日延續上漲趨勢,但空頭另有計劃。
ETH/USDT 日線圖。 來源: TradingView
強勁的拋售將價格拉低至 20 日均線(3,233 美元),買家介入阻止跌勢。 這表明多頭正在捍衛 20 日均線,市場情緒積極。
The bulls continued buying and are trying to maintain the price above $3,822. If they manage to do that, the ETH/USDT pair is likely to start a rally to $4,000 and thereafter to $4,150. If bears want to prevent the upside, they will have to drag the price below the breakout level of $3,600. That could deepen the pullback to the 20-day EMA, which will be in danger of breaking down.
BNB price analysis
BNB (BNB) turned down from the overhead resistance of $427 on March 5 and plunged below the 20-day EMA ($387), but the bears could not sustain the lower levels.
BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls bought the dip below the 20-day EMA, as seen from the long tail on the candlestick. Buyers are trying to strengthen their position further by maintaining the price above $427 on March 6. If they do that, the BNB/USDT pair could rally to $460.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price fails to sustain above $427, it will indicate that bears are defending the level with all their might. That will increase the likelihood of a fall to the 50-day SMA ($341).
Solana price analysis
Solana (SOL) reversed direction from the immediate resistance of $143 on March 5 and fell to the 50-day SMA ($105).
SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
However, the long tail on the day’s candlestick shows that the bulls are aggressively protecting the 50-day SMA. The bulls have pushed the price above $126 and will again try to overcome the barrier at $143. If they can pull it off, the SOL/USDT pair could start the next leg of the up move to $158.
Instead, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance, it will suggest that the bears are not willing to give up. The pair may then again slide to the 50-day SMA.
XRP price analysis
XRP (XRP) turned down from $0.67 on March 5, indicating that the bears are fiercely defending the level.
XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The price rebounded off the 50-day SMA ($0.55), signaling that the bulls continue to buy on sharp dips. The XRP/USDT pair will make one more attempt to clear the overhead hurdle at $0.67 and start the journey to $0.74.
On the other hand, the bears will again try to defend the $0.67 level. If they do that, it will indicate a range-bound action in the near term. The pair may swing between the 50-day SMA and $0.67 for a few days.
Cardano price analysis
Cardano (ADA) turned down from $0.80 on March 4 and plummeted to the 50-day SMA ($0.56) on March 5.
ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
However, the bulls aggressively bought the dip near the 50-day SMA and the price recovered to close above the breakout level of $0.68. This shows a bullish sentiment among traders. If the price rises from the current level, the ADA/USDT pair could reach the overhead resistance of $0.80.
This positive sentiment will be invalidated if the price turns down and closes below the 20-day EMA ($0.65). The pair could then slump to the 50-day SMA.
Dogecoin price analysis
Dogecoin (DOGE) rose above the $0.16 resistance on March 4 but could not sustain the breakout on March 5, indicating profit booking at higher levels.
DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The bulls are again struggling to maintain the price above $0.16, indicating continued selling on rallies. If the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance, the DOGE/USDT pair may slump to the 20-day EMA ($0.12), where buyers are likely to step in.
Contrarily, if buyers sustain the price above $0.16, the pair could gradually retest the local high at $0.20. A break and close above this level could signal the start of the next leg of the uptrend to $0.30.
Related: Bitcoin price hits $72K in South Korea as ‘Kimchi premium’ returns
Shiba Inu price analysis
Shiba Inu (SHIB) has been in a strong bull run for the past few days. The bulls propelled the price to $0.000045 on March 5 but could not sustain the higher levels, as seen from the long wick on the candlestick.
SHIB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
That started a wave of selling, which pulled the price down to $0.000025. A minor positive in favor of the bulls is that the lower levels were purchased aggressively. This shows solid demand on dips.
After the large range day, the SHIB/USDT pair may remain range-bound for a few days. The boundaries of the range could be $0.000025 on the downside and $0.000045 on the upside. The deeply overbought level on the RSI also warns of a possible correction or consolidation in the near term.
Avalanche price analysis
The failure of the bulls to start an uptrend after completing the inverse head-and-shoulders pattern in Avalanche (AVAX) could have led short-term traders to dump their positions on March 5.
AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
The AVAX/USDT pair plummeted below the 50-day SMA ($37.04), but a minor positive is that the bears could not sustain the lower levels. Solid buying started a recovery, and the bulls are trying to push the price back above the overhead resistance of $42. If this level is cleared, the bulls may again face stiff resistance near $44.
A break and close above $44 will be the first indication that the bulls are back in the driver’s seat. The pair may then retest the psychological resistance at $50. The 50-day SMA and $35 are the two crucial supports to watch on the downside.
Polkadot price analysis
Polkadot (DOT) soared to $10,76 on March 5, where profit booking set in, as seen from the long wick on the day’s candlestick.
DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView
空頭將價格拉低至 20 日均線(8.57 美元)以下,但燭臺上的長尾表明較低水平繼續吸引買家。 多頭已將價格推高至 9.59 美元的突破位。 如果能夠維持較高水平,DOT/USDT 貨幣對可能會升至 10.80 美元的上方阻力位。
一般來說,波動性增加之后會出現一段低波動期。 該貨幣對可能會在 20 日均線和 10.80 美元之間盤整一段時間。
本文不包含投資建議或建議。 每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險,讀者在做出決定時應自行研究。