比特幣 (BTC) 正在見證多頭和空頭在 40,000 美元水平附近的一場艱苦戰(zhàn)斗。

買家似乎對新推出的比特幣交易所交易基金 (ETF) 的長期前景持樂觀態(tài)度，但賣家則關注灰度比特幣信托基金 (Grayscale Bitcoin Trust) 的 34 億美元資金流出。

除了加密貨幣相關的問題外，一些分析師還擔心宏觀經濟形勢的惡化。

BitMEX 前首席執(zhí)行官 Arthur Hayes 在其最新博客文章中警告投資者，比特幣有可能跌至 35,000 美元至 30,000 美元之間。

海耶斯表示，美聯(lián)儲可能會發(fā)現(xiàn)在不久的將來很難降息，因為紅海胡塞武裝襲擊船只導致的運輸成本上升可能會推高通脹。

每日加密貨幣市場表現(xiàn)。

來源：

一些分析師在短期內轉為看跌，但新推出的比特幣 ETF 的強勁需求可能會限制下行空間。

在推出后的 7 天內，9 個現(xiàn)貨比特幣 ETF 已積累了超過 100,000 個比特幣。

可能吸引比特幣和山寨幣購買的關鍵水平是什么？

讓我們分析一下前 10 名加密貨幣的圖表來找出答案。

比特幣價格分析

1 月 22 日，比特幣跌破 40,000 美元支撐位，表明多頭正在急于退出。

價格下滑至 37,980 美元的強勁支撐位附近，該支撐位短期內可能會保持不變。

BTC/USDT 日線圖。

來源：

價格正試圖從 37,980 美元反彈，但多頭可能會在 20 天指數移動平均線（42,116 美元）處面臨強勁阻力。

如果價格從 20 日均線下跌，BTC/USDT 貨幣對將面臨跌破 37,980 美元的風險。

在這種情況下，該貨幣對可能會跌至下一個強勁支撐位 34,000 美元。

預計買家將積極捍衛(wèi) 34,000 美元至 37,980 美元之間的區(qū)域。

他們必須將價格推至 20 日均線上方才能發(fā)出回歸信號。

在該貨幣對突破 44,700 美元后，看漲勢頭可能會增強。

以太幣價格分析

1 月 19 日，以太坊 (ETH) 從 20 日均線（2,395 美元）弱勢反彈，吸引了空頭的進一步拋售，1 月 22 日，空頭將價格拉低至 2,400 美元的突破水平。

ETH/USDT 日線圖。

來源：

20日均線已開始轉向下行，RSI接近40，表明空頭略有優(yōu)勢。

賣家將嘗試將價格壓低至 2,100 美元的強勁支撐位。

預計多頭將竭盡全力保護該水平，因為跌破該水平可能會開啟新的跌向 1,900 美元的下跌趨勢。

如果多頭將 ETH/USDT 貨幣對維持在下降趨勢線上方，這種負面觀點將在短期內失效。

隨后該貨幣對將嘗試反彈至 2,614 美元，隨后升至 2,717 美元。

BNB價格分析

BNB’s (BNB) reversed direction from the downtrend line on Jan. 22 and closed below the 20-day EMA ($305), indicating aggressive selling on rallies.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price action of the past few days has formed a descending triangle pattern, which will complete on a break and close below $288. If that happens, the bears will try to drag the price to the neckline and then to $232.

Contrarily, if the price bounces off $288 with strength, it will suggest that the bulls are fiercely protecting the level. The BNB/USDT pair may then rise to the 20-day EMA. A break above this level will pave the way for a possible rally to the downtrend line.

Solana price analysis

Solana (SOL) has been in a pullback for the past many days. The bears strengthened their hold further by pulling the price below the 50-day SMA ($91) on Jan. 22,

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages are on the verge of a bearish crossover and the RSI is in the negative zone, indicating that the path of least resistance is to the downside. There is a minor support at $77, but if this level gives way, the SOL/USDT pair could complete a 100% retracement and fall to $64.

The downtrend line is the major barrier to watch out for on the upside. If buyers drive the price above the downtrend line, it will suggest that the corrective phase may be over. The pair may then jump to $107.

XRP price analysis

XRP (XRP) turned down from the 20-day EMA ($0.56) on Jan. 15 and slipped below the immediate support of $0.54 on Jan. 19.

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The 20-day EMA is sloping down and the RSI is near the oversold territory, indicating that bears are in the driver’s seat. Sellers will try to tug the price to $0.46 where the buyers are likely to step in. However, any bounce is expected to face selling at the 20-day EMA. If the price turns down and breaks below $0.46, a retest of $0.41 may be on the cards.

If bulls want to prevent the downside, they will have to propel and maintain the price above the downtrend line. The pair may then rise to $0.67.

Cardano price analysis

Cardano (ADA) has been falling inside a descending channel pattern for the past few days, indicating that higher levels are being sold into.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The downsloping 20-day EMA ($0.52) and the RSI in the negative territory indicate that the bears are in control. Sellers will try to strengthen their position further by yanking the price below the channel. If they do that, the selling could accelerate and the ADA/USDT pair may dive to $0.35.

Instead, if the price bounces off the support line of the channel, the bulls will attempt to overcome the barrier at the 20-day EMA. If they succeed, the pair may ascend to the downtrend line of the channel.

Avalanche price analysis

Avalanche (AVAX) attempted a relief rally off the $31 support on Jan. 19, but the weak bounce shows that bears continue to pound on every minor rise.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Intense selling pressure pulled the price below the $31 support on Jan. 22. The bulls are trying to push the price back above the breakdown level of $31, but the recovery is likely to hit a wall at the 20-day EMA ($34.32). If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the AVAX/USDT pair may fall to $24.

On the contrary, if bulls push the price above the 20-day EMA, it will signal that the selling pressure could be reducing. The price may then climb to the 50-day SMA ($37.63).

Related: Here’s what happened in crypto today

Dogecoin price analysis

Dogecoin (DOGE) started a recovery on Jan. 20, but the bulls could not clear the overhead hurdle at the 50-day SMA ($0.09). This shows that bears remain active at higher levels.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has reached the strong support near $0.07, which has held on three previous occasions. If the price rebounds off this level with force, it will suggest that the DOGE/USDT pair may oscillate between $0.07 and $0.09 for a few days.

Instead, if the price continues lower and breaks below $0.07, it will open the doors for a possible fall to $0.06.

The first sign of strength will be a rise above the 50-day SMA. The pair may then climb to the $0.10 to $0.11 resistance zone.

Polkadot price analysis

Polkadot (DOT) plunged below the neckline of the head-and-shoulders pattern on Jan. 22, indicating that the bears are in command.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will try to push the price back above the neckline but are likely to face stiff resistance from the bears. If the price turns down from the neckline, it will signal that the bears have flipped the level into resistance. That will increase the likelihood of a further downside to $4.80.

On the contrary, if bulls push the price back above the neckline, it will indicate strong buying at lower levels. The downside risk will reduce after the DOT/USDT pair sustains above the moving averages.

Chainlink price analysis

Chainlink (LINK) has been trading inside a large range between $12.85 and $17.32 for several days, indicating buying at lower levels and selling on rallies.

LINK/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages are flattish, and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating a slight advantage to the bears. The LINK/USDT pair could drop to the support of the range at $12.85, where buying is likely to emerge. If the price rebounds off this level with strength, it will suggest that the range-bound action may continue for some more time.

The bears will gain the upper hand if they sink and sustain the price below $12.85. That could start a fall to $12 and thereafter to $10.50.

本文不包含投資建議或建議。

每一項投資和交易行為都涉及風險，讀者在做出決定時應自行研究。

熱點：BTC DOGE DOT ETH