2 月 4 日（周日），薩爾瓦多總統(tǒng)選舉將決定 Nayib Bukele 及其革命性的比特幣實(shí)驗(yàn)是否會(huì)繼續(xù)留在該國(guó)的未來(lái)。

納伊布·布克萊2019年就任薩爾瓦多總統(tǒng)以來(lái)，得到了相當(dāng)廣泛的支持。他是自1984年以來(lái)第一位獨(dú)立于美國(guó)兩大政黨獲勝的人。然而，讓他的政府成為全世界討論的話(huà)題的是他對(duì)比特幣的支持。布克萊于 2021 年 9 月創(chuàng)造了世界歷史，他將比特幣提升為法定貨幣，薩爾瓦多對(duì)比特幣的激進(jìn)實(shí)驗(yàn)從那時(shí)起就引起了全世界的興趣。

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當(dāng)然，這種興趣很大一部分是負(fù)面的，尤其是來(lái)自全球金融和媒體機(jī)構(gòu)的興趣。比特幣法在比特幣從歷史高點(diǎn)下跌前幾周生效，這引發(fā)了不小的猜測(cè)，認(rèn)為政府將因此損失巨額資金。更緊迫的是，國(guó)際貨幣基金組織等金融機(jī)構(gòu)也一再敦促薩爾瓦多放棄其項(xiàng)目，這增加了該國(guó)失去貸款的可能性。然而，截至 2024 年，不僅政府對(duì)比特幣庫(kù)存的投資已實(shí)現(xiàn)盈利，而且主要金融機(jī)構(gòu)也勉強(qiáng)接受了薩爾瓦多經(jīng)濟(jì)的強(qiáng)勁勢(shì)頭。從這個(gè)角度來(lái)看，這個(gè)國(guó)家的批評(píng)者已經(jīng)被證明是錯(cuò)誤的，但還有一個(gè)更直接的考驗(yàn)即將到來(lái)：布克萊的連任問(wèn)題。

In an interview on January 31, Bukele’s running mate Felix Ulloa went to great lengths to stress that a re-election will mean a firm re-commitment to Bitcoin. Although Ulloa revealed that the IMF has quietly been repeating its requests to de-list bitcoin in El Salvador, he was insistent that these pleas are falling on deaf ears. A particular source of strength, he claimed to Reuters, was the takeoff of the ETF in the United States. A major victory like this means for him that Bitcoin “enjoys the greatest credibility in the entire world.” Not only did Ulloa claim that the existing laws in support of Bitcoin “will be maintained”, but he also added that the proposed “Bitcoin City'' infrastructure project continues to enjoy the government’s full support.

As far as the polls are concerned, a wide variety of international press agencies all agree that Bukele’s victory is practically guaranteed. The centerpiece of his popularity, it seems, actually has nothing to do with Bitcoin, as large numbers of citizens remain unconvinced. Instead, it seems his sweeping crackdowns on gang activity are the main reason, causing El Salvador’s murder rate to plummet from a shocking 105 murders per 100k residents in 2015 to 7.8 per 100k, the lowest in the region. In other words, his voters love him extensively, but as of yet they remain ambivalent on the Bitcoin initiative. Fickle support like this could indeed be dangerous, as future economic difficulties could turn this indifference into outright rejection. However, as far as all polling suggests, Bukele will have another term to convince his people.

Luckily, there are extensive plans in place to attempt to deepen these connections in multiple spheres of life. The usage of an international currency like bitcoin has attracted the flow of international spending, with tourism to the nation spiking in recent years. In addition to these more casual inflows of cash, the government has also encouraged more permanent immigration by allowing foreign nationals to directly purchase citizenship with bitcoin investment. These attempts to raise foreign dollars can definitely impact the nation’s citizens, but there are also efforts underway to directly create jobs in this burgeoning industry.

Since October, El Salvador has partnered with several firms to create mining infrastructure powered by geothermal energy. Bitcoin mining is a growing market worldwide, and the use of green energy easily sidesteps the most common refrain against it. These goals of creating domestic jobs and attracting foreign investment both fall under the umbrella of the aforementioned “Bitcoin City” project, a plan with the long-term goal of fostering all the multifarious jobs in software development and blockchain engineering associated with the digital asset space.

If El Salvador’s voters do decide to re-elect Bukele on February 4, he’ll have his work cut out for him to ensure that Bitcoin is an enduring presence. As of yet, many of his citizens are either earning extra revenue from international travelers interested in Bitcoin, or involved in building the new pools to mine it. Although the economy is growing, this has not been sufficient to win his people over to the full possibilities of a radical new economic future. Nevertheless, he has won their love anyway, as his government has continually enjoyed fierce public support. In other words, re-election is very likely, and the experiment will continue for the five years of his second term. The major challenge of these five years, however, will be to ensure that Bitcoin will become a fact of life for his people. Still, as daunting of a task as this may seem, he has already been working on normalizing Bitcoin in a wide variety of ways.

Just as one example of this, last year the country partnered with one of its largest distributors, enabling huge numbers of businesses to begin accepting bitcoin for the most mundane transactions. Furthermore, these normalization efforts have extended beyond El Salvador’s borders. El Salvador needs the support of its citizens, but it also wishes to encourage broader support from other nations. The Central African Republic (CAR) was directly inspired by El Salvador when it briefly became the second nation to adopt bitcoin as a legal currency. However, this effort was simply impossible to sustain in a country where around 90% of citizens do not have internet access, and it was shuttered in 2023. CAR was not the only country to be influenced by Bukele’s government, as he actually sent a team of “Bitcoin Ambassadors” to Argentina upon the election of its newest President last November. Outreach efforts like this will go a long way to ensure that El Salvador is the first country to accept bitcoin as legal tender, but won’t be the last.

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其中一些舉措突顯了薩爾瓦多的比特幣項(xiàng)目與美國(guó)的 ETF 之戰(zhàn)有著截然不同的目標(biāo)，盡管副總統(tǒng)烏略亞等薩爾瓦多人自然對(duì)其勝利感到振奮。 ETF 是一種金融工具，它讓普通美國(guó)人有一些額外的機(jī)會(huì)從比特幣的成功中間接獲利，而比特幣則有一個(gè)激進(jìn)的愿景，讓世界上的任何人都能掌控自己的經(jīng)濟(jì)財(cái)富。納伊布·布克萊 (Nayib Bukele) 對(duì)促進(jìn)比特幣成為日常生活的一部分表現(xiàn)出了真正的興趣，他鼓勵(lì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的各種方式以及他在國(guó)際推廣方面的嘗試就表明了這一點(diǎn)。我們的社區(qū)需要像那些參與 ETF 之戰(zhàn)的斗士，但重要的是要記住，比特幣的意義不僅僅是一種賺取法定貨幣的方式。如果布克萊有機(jī)會(huì)真正將比特幣融入薩爾瓦多社會(huì)，它將向世界展示比特幣可以為我們所有人帶來(lái)什么樣的成功。

熱點(diǎn)：比特幣 比特幣未來(lái) 特幣 的比特幣 麗莎