There are 4 stages of Bitcoin halving before you see the crazy bulls!

Bitcoin spot ETF has had net outflows for 4 consecutive days, and the total net outflow has exceeded US$1 billion. There are currently 29 days left before the halving. According to historical experience, the Bitcoin halving cycle generally has four stages -

Stage 1: The market rebounds and rises violently (in just two months, 3w8 pulled to 7w3)

Stage 2: The market is overheated and has experienced multiple corrections (occurring one or two months before the halving, with a correction of 18% in January and 14% in March this year)

Stage Three: The market calms down and re-accumulates (in the few months after the halving, many investors will feel bored or disappointed with the market trend, and may leave the market directly if the halving market cannot generate immediate profits)

Stage 4: Parabolic rise (from a historical perspective, after Bitcoin breaks through the re-accumulated shock range, it will start the next round of parabolic rise, and this round may last for half a year)

We cannot predict future results and can only look to past performance for clues. For a truly violent bull, in addition to halving the narrative, he must also coordinate two points:

1. New funds are entering the Crypto field and demand is increasing.

2. With the macro environment, in the short term, there may be a cycle of interest rate cuts.

$BTC

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