?認(rèn)知社會評論

比特幣回到51200，并在2月16日沖刺至52600，超強(qiáng)盤整。

比特幣四小時頂背離從未反饋到日線上。比特幣已回落至51200。50,000是關(guān)鍵支撐位。如果守住51200，就不會突破該水平。山寨應(yīng)該補(bǔ)漲。如果比特幣跌破5萬行情就會放量暴跌。

這個時候沒有必要做空，做多也沒有多大意義。更有意義的是，根據(jù)比特幣的支持水平，押注一些彌補(bǔ)漲幅的幣種。

最重要的是不要追高。在這個位置上，做空二級頭寸比參與全倉更好。

交易市場是為了活得更長久，而不是為了短期利潤。

今天這篇文章具體講解了認(rèn)知學(xué)會文章每日總結(jié)：

比特幣16000附近將是2024年牛市極其重要的底部區(qū)域。長期K線研究重點關(guān)注以太子UNI和鏈接餅；

由于認(rèn)知協(xié)會的文章最近才在幣安上發(fā)表，很多新人認(rèn)為這是比特幣達(dá)到16000的機(jī)會嗎？

第一：這句話是認(rèn)知社在2023年大熊市期間的判斷，當(dāng)時比特幣長期在2萬以下。這不僅僅是因為今天的上漲。當(dāng)時市場分析師認(rèn)為比特幣歷史最低點在10000美元，認(rèn)知協(xié)會獨家認(rèn)為比特幣歷史最低點在16000美元左右

第二：排除比特幣被攻擊等災(zāi)難性負(fù)面影響，比特幣即使達(dá)到312也不太可能跌至16000左右；

第三：為了避免新人誤解，認(rèn)知學(xué)會將修改結(jié)案陳詞。

每日幣訊解讀

彭博社：MicroStrategy 目前持有 100 億美元的比特幣

據(jù)彭博社報道，MicroStrategy 持有的比特幣目前價值 100 億美元。

截至 2024 年 2 月 5 日，MicroStrategy 持有 190,000 個比特幣，總成本為 59.3 億美元，即每個比特幣 31,224 美元。

認(rèn)知學(xué)會解讀：微觀策略牛市不賣一些也不是好事。以后體積太大的話，就會受到攻擊。一旦破產(chǎn)，后果將十分嚴(yán)重。

以太坊Dencun升級主網(wǎng)激活日期初步預(yù)計為3月13日。

2 月 16 日，Galaxy 研究副總裁 Christine Kim 對第 181 屆以太坊核心開發(fā)者執(zhí)行（ACDE）電話會議進(jìn)行了總結(jié)。開發(fā)者們分享了Dencun升級主網(wǎng)激活準(zhǔn)備工作的最新進(jìn)展，并討論了各種以太坊改進(jìn)提案（EIP）。

Most of these are proposed to be included in the Pectra upgrade, while others are proposed as "retroactive" EIPs, meaning changes to the protocol rules will be retroactively applied to all Ethereum transactions since creation.

Ethereum Foundation DevOps Engineer Barnabas Busa said his team is syncing nodes to the Ethereum mainnet in preparation for the shadow fork. The developers plan to perform a shadow fork of the Ethereum mainnet for the Dencun upgrade after all final client versions of Dencun are released. The client team plans to release the final version of Dencun late next week.

Busa said his team will upgrade their nodes to these versions shortly thereafter and plans to complete the mainnet shadow fork by Friday, February 23. Once the results of the shadow fork are out and the results are positive, he will go ahead and publish an official EF blog post announcing the mainnet activation date for the Dencun upgrade as March 13th.

Cognitive Society Interpretation: The key is whether Cancun’s upgraded second floor can produce phenomenal products.

Uniswap v4 is tentatively scheduled to be released on the Ethereum mainnet in Q3 2024

The Uniswap Foundation announced in a document that with the release plan of Dencun mainnet set for March 2024, the Uniswap v4 version is expected to be launched in the third quarter of 2024. The development of the v4 version has made progress, including community-building Hooks, events, and Twitter Spaces, demonstrating the strong momentum for the v4 version. The Uniswap Foundation emphasized that v4 will be the most rigorously audited code on Ethereum, and its release roadmap includes code freezing, auditing and testnet phases, and will eventually be pushed to the mainnet ETH in the third quarter.

Cognitive Society Interpretation: The value of UNI in the currency circle has reached the level of Bitcoin Ether, but it is too weak to empower the token.

48.66 million BLUR were unlocked from the locked contract and transferred to Coinbase for distribution

According to Spot On Chain monitoring, 48.66 million BLUR ($35.56 million) were unlocked from the locked contract 4 hours ago and transferred to Coinbase for distribution.

A total of 583.4 million BLUR (now worth $437.6 million) has been unlocked in 9 monthly issuances since June 2023

Cognitive Society: BLUR0.77 is a strong pressure level

Summary: Bitcoin 51200 50,000 is an important support level, and the plunge is an opportunity; 24 years is the initial stage of the bull market for Bitcoin and Ether, and every plunge is an opportunity. Long-term K-line research focuses on Ether times UNI OP NEAR BLUR and link big cake;

Short-term data on February 17

Bitcoin

Support level: 51200 50000

Pressure level: 52500 53500

Ethereum

The strong pressure level of 2900 is not a price issue, it is psychological suppression.

Pressure level: 2840 2900

Support level: 2750 2700

him

Stuck on 7.7

Support level: 7.25 7.1

Pressure level: 7.6 7.8

鏈接

陷于21、18是重要支撐位，持有反彈希望。

壓力等級：20 20.6

支持級別：19 18.4

1000SATS

最高水平0.00055與認(rèn)知協(xié)會昨天提到的1000SATS 0.00056一致，為強(qiáng)壓力位。可以留意突然下降的情況。

0.00046是一個重要的支撐位

1000只老鼠

0.3后緊急插針扎入

認(rèn)知社認(rèn)為短期1000rats0.247 042可少量分配

人工智能

1.5反彈到1.72又被操了

1.3附近可以反彈

短期支撐位：1.4 1.36

對于AI板塊，可以長期關(guān)注0.3到1.1，不要追高。

BNB

350或340左右可以反彈

地球認(rèn)知協(xié)會獨家提醒BNB投資210-180

幣安只要不下雷雨，BNB 210就可以投資到180BNB

支持度：350345

壓力等級：364370

24是主卡，能不能抗20.3是關(guān)鍵

CRV

0.55是重要支撐

壓力等級：0.55-0.58

支撐位：0.51 0.49

OP

3.5 3.3是重要支撐位

認(rèn)知社獨家提醒OP底部接近1.3時坎昆升級的布局。

壓力等級：3.8-3.95

支撐位：3.55 3.35

ARB

1.91是重要支撐位。如果不破的話，還有反彈的希望。如果破裂，就會觸底。

認(rèn)知社地球獨家提醒“ARB”下注低于0.9，如0.88 0.85 0.82 0.79 0.76 0.73。實際最低為0.74

附近

這波浪潮還沒有跟上。 3是一個重要的支撐位。

認(rèn)知社是唯一一個提醒你投資近1.3比1的

在1.3到1附近配置一些長線

壓力等級：3.3 3.4

支持級別：3.1 3

模糊

波動巨大，日線存在頂部風(fēng)險。 0.66和0.63是短期支撐位。

熱點：比特幣 比特幣暴跌 特幣 暴跌